Western New York Forecast Outlook For 10-24/10-28/17

Winter Weather Forecast for USA 2017-18

Preliminary Winter 2017-18 Forecast

My Final Winter 2017-18 Update should arrive around the first week of November 2017.

Autumn 2017 Forecast

Fathers Day 2017 Severe Weather Outlook For WNY!

Chance for severe thunderstorms later today!

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible later this evening for WNY! There is slight risk for severe thunderstorms to develop this late afternoon into this evening. Primary risk for severe weather is damaging winds and large hail. I do believe the Storm Prediction Center may upgrade our area to enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms instead of slight risk. Stay Tuned To NOAA Weather Radio For Later Statements.

Severe Thunderstorms for WNY later this April 20, 2017

Severe thunderstorms are possible today evening with damaging winds and large hail. An isolated tornado is also possible based on wi d sheer and wind profiles. All severe weather is likely after 8 pm to about 11 pm today this will allow the lake breeze to diminish allowing the Niagara Frontier to destabilize. Typically lake breeze is set up from the daytime heating and because allowing a CAP on the atmosphere making any thunderstorms to fall apart rapidly. This lake breeze will be limited due to a rapid advancement of a strong warm from will push north allowing the temperatures to soar into the lower 70s in places. This late day heating will limited the lake breeze influence enhancing the severe threat. In the mid afternoon Buffalo Batavia should be in the mid 50s with that warm front pushing through late dinner hour limiting that aforementioned lake breeze. I will be monitoring this very closely. Here is the forecasted radar from the NAM forecast model what is in good agreement with this system. I do feel that the instability of the atmosphere to be but more unstable being the potential for short lived cloud clearing and if this does materialize i would expect a few more tornadoes based on the wind shear and strong low level divergence and upper air cool pool aloft. This has the potential be be a dangerous situation. Because of this reason I expect the spc to haver us in western new York in enhanced risk for severe weather. More details to be updated by mid afternoon tomorrow at www.andysweathersite.com please monitor the local weather and download The Weather Channel App to be alerted on any severe weather watches or warnings.    http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/model/mod/scripts/mkgif.php?rate=&pause=&startLabel=0&start=0&endLabel=60&end=60&type=2017042000-NAMNST-NE-prec-radar&saveGIF=

We will have an later update at 5 PM ET April 5, 2017

Severe Weather Update

I will have parodic severe weather updates on my You Tube Chanel but will go live at 5 PM ET.
Download The Weather Channel App It will alert you when severe weather warning is issued in your location and will follow you to alert you where you go. The Weather Channel App is free but you may also like The Weather Bug App. Download your copy of the Severe Weather Disaster Kit for your safety.  You may visit my You Tube Channel Here.