Weather Forecast For September 10, 2024

Written By Andrew Ditch Written on: September 10, 2024 9:30 PM EDT Updated: 10:15 PM EDT

Website Updates 

National Weather News 

Today I will be working on weather forecast to help me keep busy while I wait for services. I will be redoing my template for my website and content defaults. 

Something new!

1. What location will I be forecasting? 

I will be forecasting every week on a regular basis. Each Sunday I will have a detailed forecast. Each forecast location is randomly picked from 3 different zones in the lower 48 states of the United States. The zones will be Eastern, Central, and Western. I will split each zone into North, Central, South to make these random choices easier. 

2. How I choose my location I will forecast? 

Each week I will choose one location from each zone that big weather events could impact. Each Sunday I will make a weekly forecast from Monday to Friday with each location. 

Each day I will try to make a forecast for 2 of these locations. Each forecast will be for the next 5 days. 

Each Wednesday or Thursday, I will make a forecast for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday for the same locations.

3. How I will choose my locations? 

Every week I will choose 1 city from 9 different zones from the lower 48 states. Big weather events is how I will choose a location. 

December through March

I will focus my choices on big snow storms, artic intrusion, severe weather, and other big events. 

April through June

I will focus my choices on big rain/snow storms, colder weather, hotter weather, and severe weather.

July through August 

I will focuse my choices on extreme heat, tropical weather, and severe weather. 

September through November 

I will focus on big snows, wind events, cold weather, hotter weather, tropical weather, and severe weather. 

Any time a big out of season weather event, I will try to make every attempt to make additional daily forecast including updates on severe weather. 

4. Seasonal forecast 

On the last Monday of each moth I will make a forecast for 3 to 6 months outlook for temperature, precipitation, and typical expected weather. 

5. Short Term Forecast 

Every Saturday I will make a 6 to 8 day temperature, precipitation, and expected weather forecast. I will make a 10 to 14 day outlook. 

6. Each forecast I will have current national temperature, precipitation, and overnight and next day high low and weather. I will have severe weather by the storm predictions center and national hurricane center outlooks. I will have my daily forecast for at least 1 location. I will attempt to make additional forecast if severe weather events. This is if my daily schedule has enough time to make these forecast. On days I can't spend time making my own forecast, I will try to use a forecast Written by the National Weather Service for the location I choose. I will be spending time reviewing models and weather to make my own weather forecast and keep updated on trends even on days I don't make a forecast or publish online. 

I have somewhat stable living environment. I have a lot of free time. I have autism and intellectual disability that I need a group home placement. This makes my life challenging and I need help with planning my day and following a structured life. This is my special interests. I do not have my computer at this time and this will make it harder for me to make video forecast, however I can make written forecast and use screen readers to speak my forecast videos. I plan on using voice generator devices including augmentative alternative communication device to make my forecast easily understood for my viewers. This will also add a unique experience to my viewers and to help advocate for disabled people can do anything they want including broadcast and news reporting regardless of able to speak or use Assistive Technology such as AAC. My hope is to make an inclusive life for all disabled people and bring hope to people who wouldn't have these opportunities. 

  

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My Winter 2018-19 forecast.

I haven't done a video blog to this yet because I am having trouble communicating. But here is my texted forecast. I will share the video shortly for this.

Here is my very detailed forecast.

Because I am a weather guru, I am sharing my forecast for this coming winter. This winter's set up is forecasted to be a weak El Nino what almost ever weather station has said. Now I may be technical in this post so if anything that isnt specified for anyone to understand the term please let me know.

The setup... The weak El Nino like said above most importantly it is forecasted to be an eastern based el Nino. This means the warmer waters above 0.5 degrees Celsius above normal is expected to be near South America compared to its placement. This may set a subtropical jet that may set up over this warmer waters and be over the southern California into the Texas and Misourri area that will then combine with the Artic Jet listed below.

A positive PDO or warmer waters off the Golf of Alaska and Barien Strait. This will allow two things. The jet artic streem will set An amplified ridge over the Alaska and off the western coast. This will allow a amplified trough to form the central to mid west through the east coast. There will be a mild trough to the west of this amplified ridge and this trough will be over the eastern Asia near Russia, Northern China and Japan. A note here the Artic Jet isnt actually named Artic I forgot the scientific name so those who know it comments are appreciated.

Other factors of ocean temperatures and how they may play a roll into this winter. The Atlantic Ocean especially off the coast from NJ to Florida is much above normal temperatures and the Gulf of Mexico is extremely warmer than normal. These warmer than normal temperatures will amplify moisture to be included into any system that sets up and may dump a lot of rain and winter precipitation. I will go into more details on this below.

My Forecast... before I go into details the jet streem in the west is known as the PNA and is stood for Pacific-North America Oscillation. This PNA in its Positive Phase makes a Ridge in the West. The NAO or North Atlantic Oscillation is the jet streem in the east coast. In its negative phase it makes a trough in the east. Because of this amplified weather pattern there may be what is known as an atmospheric blocking pattern set up off the coast of Iceland. This is an area of higher pressure or above normal heights. This blocking will prevent any storm system to easily move eastward out to the Atlantic and will have three options move north of that high, move south of that high, and or simply just stall in the east while it waits to move in either direction.

Now we have the terms here what does this mean far as the weather? It should be similar winter to 1977 78 and as most recently 2014 15. It is going to be warmer to much warmer than normal in the West. Depending on the placement or development of the Subtropical jet in the west SouthWestern states could be wetter than normal. This is a huge if. The Northwest will be very warm than normal and be very dryer than normal. The central US... the South Central US into what is known as Dixi Ally (2nd tornado ally) will be wetter and slightly cooler than normal. Except a bit more of snow fall. North Central will be cooler to colder than normal. A near normal to slightly below normal precipitation. The East... the Great Lakes to Northeast. Much colder than normal temperatures and a big time much more snow especially from Buffalo Eastward. The South East... there will be more precipitation and more winter precipitation especially mid Atlantic area. The temperatures will be much below normal then average and even far south as Milami Florida may get cold at times.