Severe Thunderstorms for WNY later this April 20, 2017

Severe thunderstorms are possible today evening with damaging winds and large hail. An isolated tornado is also possible based on wi d sheer and wind profiles. All severe weather is likely after 8 pm to about 11 pm today this will allow the lake breeze to diminish allowing the Niagara Frontier to destabilize. Typically lake breeze is set up from the daytime heating and because allowing a CAP on the atmosphere making any thunderstorms to fall apart rapidly. This lake breeze will be limited due to a rapid advancement of a strong warm from will push north allowing the temperatures to soar into the lower 70s in places. This late day heating will limited the lake breeze influence enhancing the severe threat. In the mid afternoon Buffalo Batavia should be in the mid 50s with that warm front pushing through late dinner hour limiting that aforementioned lake breeze. I will be monitoring this very closely. Here is the forecasted radar from the NAM forecast model what is in good agreement with this system. I do feel that the instability of the atmosphere to be but more unstable being the potential for short lived cloud clearing and if this does materialize i would expect a few more tornadoes based on the wind shear and strong low level divergence and upper air cool pool aloft. This has the potential be be a dangerous situation. Because of this reason I expect the spc to haver us in western new York in enhanced risk for severe weather. More details to be updated by mid afternoon tomorrow at www.andysweathersite.com please monitor the local weather and download The Weather Channel App to be alerted on any severe weather watches or warnings.    http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/model/mod/scripts/mkgif.php?rate=&pause=&startLabel=0&start=0&endLabel=60&end=60&type=2017042000-NAMNST-NE-prec-radar&saveGIF=

We will have an later update at 5 PM ET April 5, 2017

Severe Weather Update

I will have parodic severe weather updates on my You Tube Chanel but will go live at 5 PM ET.
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Severe Weather Update for April 5, 2017 at 10 M ET

Updated Video and Live Video...

We are going to be going Live on our You Tube Channel at 10:30 AM ET or 9:30 CT. You can join me live shortly at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCOdgMfpiPUTh4cAM4xr4qtA

Dangerous Tornadoes for April 5, 2017

#SevereWeather #Tornado #dangeroustornadoes

If you live in these areas STAY HOME... DON'T LET YOUR KIDS GO TO SCHOOL OR PICK THE KIDS UP BY LUNCH TIME. DO NOT GO TO WORK. STAY OFF ROADWAYS. TORNADOES ARE LIKELY IN THESE AREAS BUT ANYWHERE FROM CINCINNATI TO NASHVILLE TO MOBILE AL, TO ATLANTA TO SOUTH CAROLINA A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION LIKELY UNFOLDING. KEEP AN EYE ON TV RADIO AND HAVE A NOAA WEATHER RADAR. DOWNLOAD THE WEATHER CHANNEL APP FOR FREE ON SMART PHONES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL KEEP AN EYE ON THE SKIES.
IF YOU ARE IN THE AREAS IN RED STAY HOME DO NOT GO OUT. HAVE A BIKE HELMET AND EMERGENCY SUPPLY KIT IN YOUR SAFE LOCATION. I WILL UPLOAD A CHECK LIST OF MY EMERGENCY DISASTER KIT.

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